ROAR Partners — Climate Vulnerability Signal Estimator

What this does

A guided, dropdown-driven estimator of a Fitch-style Climate Vulnerability Signal. Every field is a menu drawn from the CVS taxonomy — asset type, the specific Jupiter peril metric (return period / flood sub-type), an exposure band, a change trajectory, plus scenario and horizon. The engine maps selections to 0–100 indicators, asset-weights across the portfolio, and produces VSp and Climate.VS at 2035 under SSP2-4.5. Pre-rating estimation aid; Fitch's exact mapping and combination matrix are proprietary.

1 · Asset Inputs — one card per asset. Choose asset type & sector, coordinates + weight, then per peril pick the specific CVS metric, an exposure band, and a change trajectory. Scenario + horizon at the top.
1b · Project Profile — engineering / resilience / insurance / debt dropdowns that auto-suggest the analytical overlay.
2 · Overlay & VSt — overlay pre-filled from the Profile (override if needed); enter VSt.
6 · Adaptation ROI — toggle resilience measures and see the VSp / Climate.VS reduction, cost, and cost per point.
CVS Library — the full source taxonomy behind every dropdown.

Exposure bands: Negligible=0, Low=20, Moderate=40, Elevated=60, High=80, Severe=100 (present-day dimension); the change trajectory is the expected-change-by-2050 dimension. Only wildfire High ≈ 1.8%/yr → 80 is Fitch-disclosed.

1 · Asset Inputs

Scenario: Horizon:

Click a card to expand its per-peril drill-down. Choosing an asset type auto-sets its sector.

1b · Project & Engineering Profile

Your answers auto-suggest the analytical overlay (per factor at right, totaled on the Overlay tab).

A · Project identification & scope

B · Engineering, design & financial resilience

C · Suggested analytical overlay (auto-computed)

Overlay factor	Suggested points

Feeds the Overlay tab. Negative = risk-reducing credit; positive = penalty.

2 · Analytical overlay & transition signal

Analytical overlay (Step 7) — suggested from Project Profile; override if needed

Factor

Suggested

Override

Applied

Total overlay adjustment

Transition signal & combination

VSt — transition vulnerability signal (0–100) Combination weight for lower signal (approx. of Fitch's matrix)

Climate.VS = max(VSp,VSt) + weight × min(VSp,VSt), capped at 100.

3 · Dashboard SSP2-4.5 · 2035

Climate.VS (2035)

–

VSp physical

–

VSt transition

–

Assets scored

–

Enter assets to compute.

Issuer-level peril indicators (asset-weighted)

Dynamic weighted average

3b · Per-Asset Results

Each asset's own VSp (dynamic weighted average of its own perils), dominant peril, and weight share. A high-VSp asset with a small weight moves the issuer score less.

Asset	Sector	Weight	Wt %	Asset VSp	Top peril (score)	2nd peril (score)

Asset VSp comparison

6 · Adaptation ROI what-if

Toggle resilience measures; each applies an indicative VSp point reduction (editable) mapped to a Fitch overlay factor. Baseline = your current portfolio + profile.

Include	Measure	Targeted factor	VSp reduction (pts)	Cost ($mm)

Baseline Climate.VS

–

Post-adaptation Climate.VS

–

Climate.VS reduction

–

Total investment ($mm)

–

$mm / VSp point

–

VSp: baseline → post-adaptation

Measures are prospective incremental actions applied on top of the current baseline; reductions are indicative point deltas (Fitch overlay factors / Jupiter Adaptation Hub logic) — edit as needed.

CVS Variable Library

The full Jupiter ClimateScore Global taxonomy behind the drill-down: every peril metric, return period, unit, threshold, Fitch-primary flag, and infrastructure application.

Peril	Metric / variable	Unit	Return period / threshold	Fitch VSp	Infrastructure application

Extended / CSRD perils (→ analytical overlay)

Peril	Unit	Role	Application

Scenarios: Horizons:
Dimensions: Present-day risk (=exposure band) + Expected change by 2050 (=change trajectory).

Benchmarks & mapping

What each exposure band means per peril (raw hazard value).

Peril	Raw metric / unit	Low (20)	Moderate (40)	Elevated (60)	High (80)	Severe (100)	US hazard-zone note

Negligible / Not applicable = indicator 0.

Change-by-2050 overlay

Label	Overlay points

Sources & methodology

Public sources

Fitch Infrastructure & Project Finance Rating Criteria, Appendix F (Nov 14, 2025): SSP2-4.5; 2035 horizon; Climate.VS 0–100; ≥50 enhanced-scrutiny threshold; disclosed anchor "1.8% annual wildfire probability → indicator ≈ 80"; VSp/VSt combination; overlay factors.
Jupiter Intelligence ClimateScore Global 2.7 Corporate Overview & Datasheet (Sept 2024): 90 m; 22.3 bn locations; 41 core metrics; 8 Fitch perils; risk + change framework; Adaptation Hub ROI modeling.
Jupiter–Fitch partnership confirmed publicly (Rich Sorkin / Jupiter Intelligence, 2025). Fitch extending CVS across corporate sectors (ESG Today; KnowESG). Jupiter product page (jupiterintel.com).

Key assumptions (editable)

CVS Library reproduces the source taxonomy; the specific metric per asset is documentary context — scoring is driven by the exposure band (present-day) + change trajectory (expected change by 2050).
Exposure bands map to fixed indicators (0/20/40/60/80/100). Only wildfire High = 1.8% → ≈80 is Fitch-disclosed.
Change overlay −10 to +20 per Appendix F quadrant logic. Dynamic weighted VSp = 55/35/10.
Overlay auto-suggested from the Project Profile; overridable. VSp/VSt combination = MAX + 0.25×MIN (approximation).
Adaptation ROI applies indicative VSp point reductions (editable) mapped to overlay factors; scenario/horizon selectors are documentary (Fitch = SSP2-4.5 @ 2035).

Disclaimer

Independent estimation tool for ROAR Partners. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Fitch Ratings or Jupiter Intelligence. Outputs are directional pre-rating estimates, not official Fitch scores. Trademarks belong to their respective owners.